An update to Nate Silver's election prediction model has former President Donald Trump increasing his chances to beat Democratic candidate Kamala Harris.
Previously, the model said that Trump had a 52.4% chance to beat Harris, but the updated assessment from Wednesday drops her chances to 41.6%. It places Trump's chances to beat Harris at an astounding 58.3%.
The model calculates that Trump would win 274.7 electoral votes while Harris would only garner 263.3. To win the election, a candidate must win a majority of electoral votes, or more than 270.
Silver explained that new polling from swing states didn't help the Harris campaign because the model adjusts against partisan-sponsored polling that showed the two candidates in a tie.
