The national House map is objectively better for Republicans today than it was a year ago. That is not our assessment. That is Jacob Rubashkin of Inside Elections, who tracks these races for a living.

Early voting is now open across most of the country, and the first returns are in from enough states to see a pattern.

Early voting opened in several key states last week. Here is what happened on so far.

AdImpact projects $11.6 billion in political advertising for the 2025-26 cycle. That beats the $11.2 billion spent in 2024, which included a presidential race, and it dwarfs the $8.9 billion spent during the last midterms.

Vice President Vance called the Michigan Senate race the most important contest in the United States of America at a rally in Monroe this week.

Speaker Mike Johnson went on Fox News this week and said it plainly.