
Hardest-right statewide nominee in the country. Texas Southern poll had Talarico 47-45. Internal: Paxton is underwater by double digits. Biggest draw, biggest risk.

Led COVID and NIH oversight when it was unpopular to do so — a record that just went live again with the Morens guilty plea. Internal: rating traces to April data. Verify before publication.

Open seat. Conservative record intact; she's losing ground to the ag economy, not to her votes.


Former House Freedom Caucus chairman. The purest movement conservative in a competitive seat anywhere on the map, and already a named target in national coverage.

Serving Air Force colonel. Signed the ATR Taxpayer Protection Pledge and the U.S. Term Limits pledge. $1.6M cash on hand.

Best-funded on the slate at $2.05M cash on hand, $1.3M raised in Q2. Internal: more institutional than movement. Defensible on the record, but she's the softest ideological fit here.

Former law enforcement — the strongest immigration-enforcement messenger in any swing district in America.

Veteran, conservative freshman. Pairs with El-Sayed atop the Michigan ticket for the "socialism on the ballot" frame.

Conservative freshman in a narrow district. With Perry, gives Pennsylvania two seats on the slate.


Hardest-right statewide nominee in the country. Texas Southern poll had Talarico 47-45. Internal: Paxton is underwater by double digits. Biggest draw, biggest risk.

Led COVID and NIH oversight when it was unpopular to do so — a record that just went live again with the Morens guilty plea. Internal: rating traces to April data. Verify before publication.

Open seat. Conservative record intact; she's losing ground to the ag economy, not to her votes.


Former House Freedom Caucus chairman. The purest movement conservative in a competitive seat anywhere on the map, and already a named target in national coverage.

Serving Air Force colonel. Signed the ATR Taxpayer Protection Pledge and the U.S. Term Limits pledge. $1.6M cash on hand.

Best-funded on the slate at $2.05M cash on hand, $1.3M raised in Q2. Internal: more institutional than movement. Defensible on the record, but she's the softest ideological fit here.

Former law enforcement — the strongest immigration-enforcement messenger in any swing district in America.

Veteran, conservative freshman. Pairs with El-Sayed atop the Michigan ticket for the "socialism on the ballot" frame.

Conservative freshman in a narrow district. With Perry, gives Pennsylvania two seats on the slate.
