A deeply pessimistic view of the U.S. economy among registered voters was a driving force behind new polling that shows support for former president Donald Trump outpacing President Joe Biden in five out of six key presidential swing states, one year ahead of the 2024 election.
A survey released Sunday by The New York Times and Siena College found that if the election were held today, Trump would lead Biden in hypothetical matchups in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia and Nevada. The margins were between 4 and 10 percentage points, with a survey sampling error of between 4.4 and 4.8 points per state.
The only state where voters said they would choose Biden over Trump was Wisconsin, where the president led the Republican front-runner by 2 points, within the margin of error.
During the 2020 election, Biden won all six of these battleground states, albeit some by very slim margins.