When Trump attacks, the base turns out – for both parties

  • by:
  • Source: Roll Call
  • 07/31/2020
President Donald Trump’s attacks on the four Democratic congresswomen known as the “squad” are a strange way to try to win reelection.There is no doubt that Trump needs to motivate his base to win a second term, and his tweets and comments about immigrants and “socialism” are, at least in part, intended to energize his loyal supporters and demonize the entire Democratic Party. On one level, that certainly makes sense.

A less appealing Democratic Party is likely to attract fewer swing voters and have problems turning out its own weak partisans.

Since the president has not broadened his appeal and attracted new voters, he will in all likelihood need to rely next year on the same narrow Electoral College strategy that sent him to the White House in 2016.

That would entail losing the popular vote again but winning enough white voters without a college degree in key states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin to squeeze out another narrow electoral victory.
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