Has the longtime swing state of Ohio stopped swinging?

  • by:
  • Source: Roll Call
  • 07/31/2020
When it comes to presidential elections, no one picks ’em like Ohio.

Going back to 1896, the Buckeye State has backed the winning candidate in all but two elections — the best record for any state in recent history. John F. Kennedy in 1960 was the last person to win the White House without winning Ohio.

Ohioans have gotten used to the political attention their state gets every four years. But recent trends have political insiders questioning whether the state is slowly shedding its swing-state status.

President Donald Trump swept past Hillary Clinton in 2016 by 8 points — the widest margin for a Republican nominee in almost three decades. Last year’s midterms saw the GOP maintain its dominance at the state level, winning all executive-branch positions. And while Democrats were flipping House seats across the country, the partisan makeup of the Ohio delegation remained unchanged.

Election handicappers largely put Ohio in the GOP column for 2020 — Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rates the state’s presidential race Likely Republican.
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